tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post1063086917521068582..comments2023-10-23T18:27:06.378+01:00Comments on PoliticalBetting - Channel 2: The strange second death of Liberal Britain?Mike Smithsonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11961547389548912471noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-91698697208438734832012-03-22T21:57:38.503+00:002012-03-22T21:57:38.503+00:00(AnneJGP)
Very interesting article, many thanks.
...(AnneJGP)<br /><br />Very interesting article, many thanks.<br /><br />Come the next GE, my personal dilemma with the LibDems is the shock & revulsion with which so many of their supporters responded to a coalition with the Conservatives.<br /><br />IMHO the LibDems did the right thing following the 2010 GE, and indeed did exactly what they had promised. Kudos.<br /><br />But for the party to come apart at the seams over the reality of coalition when they have been in favour of the principle for yonks, is something I find very hard to get over.<br /><br />Obviously the disgruntled supporters assumed it would only ever be a Lab/LibDem coalition, but that's to say their assumption of coalition was eternal rule by the left-leaning. That doesn't seem very liberal, and I don't consider it very satisfactory.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-37321306128688360432012-03-22T06:06:55.645+00:002012-03-22T06:06:55.645+00:00Excellent piece of work.
One thing of note is th...Excellent piece of work. <br /><br />One thing of note is that in those seats where the Tory is the challenger to the LibDem, the Labour vote is generally tiny. The Labour vote has been bled dry. Now OK, that is often a reflection of the seat being a very poor hunting ground for Labour to start with. But it also means many "lent" votes. It will require an extraordinary degree of nose-holding for many of those votes not to go back to Labour next time out.<br /><br />But another lesser acknowledged issue is the "lent" Tory votes. These are naturally Tory seats, sometimes won in by-elections with massive swings. Won by stealing Tory voters in bigger numbers than from Labour. The LibDems bigger worry is perhaps that "normal service is resumed" at the next election - and faced with PM Miliband, these voters give up on the LibDems. Too much at stake.<br /><br />Marquee MarkAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-40849003019640388082012-03-21T07:57:11.471+00:002012-03-21T07:57:11.471+00:00Very interesting analysis, Mr. Antifrank.
I'...Very interesting analysis, Mr. Antifrank. <br /><br />I've also subscribed to the view that, whilst the Lib Dems may well suffer come 2015, they'll do a lot, lot better at seat retention than the calculators suggest. I think 40-50 eminently possible.<br /><br />Of course, we saw in 2011 just how unpredictable events can be, so by 2015 the Lib Dems could be flying high or dead as a dodo.Morris Dancernoreply@blogger.com