tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post1159453224381017083..comments2023-10-23T18:27:06.378+01:00Comments on PoliticalBetting - Channel 2: Is there a Poll out tonight?Mike Smithsonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11961547389548912471noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-43087664359767137412010-05-08T11:56:41.546+01:002010-05-08T11:56:41.546+01:00It is also useful to show that the "they were...It is also useful to show that the "they were lucky/unlucky" argument is fairly balanced: Tories hold 7 seats with knife-edge majorities under half-a-percent; Labour hold 6.<br /><br />Expanding out to 2% (as for a 1% swing), 16 Tory seats to 14 Labour (and five Lib Dem). Haven't bothered looking at other sizes, but it does suggest that for every Hampstead & Kilburn, or Ashfield, there'd be an OxWab or Thurrock (pretty much).Andy Cookehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14827254192797927573noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-84870832139480470002010-05-08T11:03:40.510+01:002010-05-08T11:03:40.510+01:00These lists are fun but - especially after the swi...These lists are fun but - especially after the swings we've just seen - no more than that, I think.<br /><br />For example, Redcar is now "safer" than 30 other Lib Dem seats, yet ITIRIS that it wasn't really on anyone's radar beforehand.Innocent Abroadnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-42346773249355258082010-05-08T10:53:57.908+01:002010-05-08T10:53:57.908+01:00This will be invaluable. Thank you for the work o...This will be invaluable. Thank you for the work on this.<br /><br /><br /><b> antifrank </b>Alastairhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11551605492626333385noreply@blogger.com