tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post1242375919941158382..comments2023-10-23T18:27:06.378+01:00Comments on PoliticalBetting - Channel 2: Australia: pre-qualifyingMike Smithsonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11961547389548912471noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-29244293023859187152013-03-16T10:47:16.759+00:002013-03-16T10:47:16.759+00:00"Did you sell Vettel?"
Er....yes Morris...<i>"Did you sell Vettel?"</i><br /><br />Er....yes Morris .... thanks for reminding me! That said, a mid-point spread for him of 262 points before "a ball has been kicked" in what most expect to be a more competitive season does look like a tremendous ask.<br />That's equivalent to him winning an average of 13.8 points in each of the 19 GPs. Were that actually to prove to be the case then we're all in for a very dull and monotonous season.<br /><br />Peter from Putney.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-74192703501114766542013-03-16T08:28:40.930+00:002013-03-16T08:28:40.930+00:00To clarify: I will listen to it, but given it'...To clarify: I will listen to it, but given it'll finish at just after 12.30 in the morning and the markets will take until 12.45-1am to get running I'm dubious as to whether my best decision-making will happen at such a time.<br /><br />My plan is to write a pre-race article during today, probably without a tip. If I dream one up I'll add it in the comments (that said, I will scan the markets in case anything jumps out at me).<br /><br />The last time I didn't offer any tip at all for a race weekend was the European Grand Prix in 2009.Morris Dancernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-47968052910535393082013-03-16T07:58:25.401+00:002013-03-16T07:58:25.401+00:00Did you sell Vettel?
If so, that's looking a...Did you sell Vettel? <br /><br />If so, that's looking a bit ominous right now.<br /><br />Q2's start is delayed to midnight UK time. Not sure if I'll be staying up for that.Morris Dancernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-10464481865970874852013-03-16T03:49:19.161+00:002013-03-16T03:49:19.161+00:00In terms of sheer value, Webber on offer from Hill...In terms of sheer value, Webber on offer from Hills at their stand-out price of 11/1 looks attractive.<br />Should Vettel not win, there are probably 3 or 4 other drivers in the mix and Mark has as good a chance of winning his home GP as any of these.<br /><br />I've had half a pint's worth on him.<br /><br />Meanwhile on the spread-betting markets, Vettel's hugely impressive performance in practice has lifted his spread by no less than 17 points with Sporting, from 240-250 to 257-267. <br />Oh dear, not looking so good from my perspective!<br /><br />Peter from PutneyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-29501926523176555022013-03-15T10:21:11.354+00:002013-03-15T10:21:11.354+00:00Indeed. Could also mean the grid doesn't repre...Indeed. Could also mean the grid doesn't represent pace in the dry whatsoever.<br /><br />Some out-of-position drivers could offer some interesting betting possibilities.<br /><br />I was initially thinking of the McLaren drivers for race bets, but now my eye's drifted to Raikkonen (will probably qualify 3rd or 4th row but could improve a lot during the race) and perhaps Alonso/Massa. If they could get 2nd they might well leapfrog Vettel off the line.Morris Dancernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-9417165226668665462013-03-15T09:45:36.537+00:002013-03-15T09:45:36.537+00:00Hamilton's problem was a detached splitter whi...Hamilton's problem was a detached splitter which took away most of his front downforce. Probably did it when running off track earlier.<br />It's an easy fix, so not relevant for the rest of the weekend. Don't know about the Rosberg gearbox, though.<br /><br />Qualifying could be rain showers rather than full rain - a real lottery.<br />Nigelnoreply@blogger.com