tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post1267747922681949886..comments2023-10-23T18:27:06.378+01:00Comments on PoliticalBetting - Channel 2: Monaco: pre-raceMike Smithsonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11961547389548912471noreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-23174322723412349042012-05-27T11:39:29.185+01:002012-05-27T11:39:29.185+01:00Someone told me I might be wrong about the new set...Someone told me I might be wrong about the new set of options for Rosberg. Won't get the chance to check the qualifying replay before the race, but thought I should mention it.<br /><br />Sticking with my bet, though.Nigelnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-47595169466099288382012-05-27T08:34:07.944+01:002012-05-27T08:34:07.944+01:00I forget how long it is, but I think the Monaco pi...I forget how long it is, but I think the Monaco pit stop takes a relatively long time. Plus extra stops also mean pitting early or late on, increasing the chances of traffic.<br /><br />However, you're right that (traffic permitting) that's a potentially cunning plan. Good job one of us is paying attention.<br /><br />Vettel's in a very similar position to last race, I think. I concur with you that he's probably not in the running.Morris Dancernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-74442264127055230902012-05-27T00:24:32.874+01:002012-05-27T00:24:32.874+01:00Mr M,
"...not sure if the supersofts will be...Mr M,<br /><br />"...not sure if the supersofts will be that much use in the race due to the extreme difficulty of passing traffic."<br /><br />Their use is passing at the pitstops.<br />If you have a faster race pace (with a set of tyres which can also last an extra couple of laps), you have the ability to make you first stop a couple of laps earlier and put in a couple of extra fast laps, thereby gaining track position after the guy in front of you stops (aka the undercut).<br /><br />Rosberg is perfectly positioned for this.<br /><br />Btw, I suspect Vettel will start on the prime, and one stop. It probably won't work out, but he might just get lucky with the safety car.Nigelnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-89592747235377530102012-05-26T22:08:40.349+01:002012-05-26T22:08:40.349+01:00Yeah, I went for them because they seemed the best...Yeah, I went for them because they seemed the best two options regarding F1/politics.<br /><br />Doubt I'll open any new accounts for the foreseeable future, but thanks for the tips anyway.Morris Dancernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-66949760132389168602012-05-26T22:05:38.629+01:002012-05-26T22:05:38.629+01:00Morris -
If I were to restrict myself to just two ...Morris -<br />If I were to restrict myself to just two accounts then, like you, I'd opt for Ladbrokes and Betfair.<br />Beyond that I'd go for Victor Chandler (although they closed my account.....grrh), Paddy Power and Bet365 since these three imo generally offer competitive odds, a good range of markets and, importantly, they operate efficiently.<br /><br />Peter from PutneyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-26321921384804661342012-05-26T21:08:16.971+01:002012-05-26T21:08:16.971+01:00Mr. Putney, being but an impoverished Yorkshireman...Mr. Putney, being but an impoverished Yorkshireman I only have accounts with Ladbrokes and Betfair.<br /><br />Weirdly, I now have more money in my Ladbrokes account (due to the lucky 5/1 first lap leader bet from last time). It's most disconcerting, because every time I sign into Betfair the sum there seems even smaller than it ought to be.<br /><br />Regarding the title race, this is the second circuit in a row where Button has had serious issues in qualifying. With a field so tight and McLaren's comedy pitstops he needs to get that sorted. Alonso's said today that he reckons Hamilton is the man to beat.Morris Dancernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-10062914855562791862012-05-26T20:18:18.095+01:002012-05-26T20:18:18.095+01:00Morris - I wouldn't argue with your choice of ...Morris - I wouldn't argue with your choice of bet - but significantly better odds than the 9/4 from Ladbrokes you quote are currently available - for example 11/4 from both BETFRED and Totesport.<br />These odds look very fair when viewed as the equivalent of backing a racehorse for a place only in an average sized field at one quarter of the winning odds. Using such an analogy, I would rate Alonso at considerably shorter odds than 11/1, perhaps 7/1 or 8/1 maximum. A very good value bet therefore imho.<br /><br />As previously mentioned, on account of my SELL bet of Button at 240 points for the season means that this has to be my principal interest in tomorrow's race and indeed of every race!<br />I have however followed you in by investing a modest pint and a half (aka £6) of Old Speckled Hen on Alono making the podium tomorrow.<br /><br />Good luck to us both.<br /><br />Peter from PutneyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-90129312303974155972012-05-26T19:46:43.440+01:002012-05-26T19:46:43.440+01:00Rosberg was the one I was most tempted by. I'd...Rosberg was the one I was most tempted by. I'd forgotten to track the tyres, but I'm not sure if the supersofts will be that much use in the race due to the extreme difficulty of passing traffic.<br /><br />His odds, as you'll've seen (assuming they're the same) are basically the same as Hamilton's. Webber's rightly favourite at 2.6, but that's a bit too short, even though pole-sitters have a good record this year and a very good record in Monaco.<br /><br />If I could pick a winner (with Alonso coming second) I'd go for Schumacher. That'd be some race.Morris Dancernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-29275087136276110742012-05-26T18:59:14.658+01:002012-05-26T18:59:14.658+01:00Oops, typo - should have been "its tyres"...Oops, typo - should have been "its tyres".<br /><br />Hate that.Nigelnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-65162562191515895902012-05-26T18:58:07.817+01:002012-05-26T18:58:07.817+01:00If I were betting on the race (I think I might jus...If I were betting on the race (I think I might just sit back and enjoy this one), I'd quite fancy a few quid on Rosberg for the win.<br />Front row, albeit the wrong side, and the only one of the leaders (I think) with a new set of the options left. For a two stop race, this could give him a big advantage ...assuming the Mercedes doesn't eat it's tyres.<br />Even if he doesn't get ahead at the start, an undercut the first stop is a real option for him (especially as Webber is harder on his tyres than Vettel).<br /><br />I think the Mercedes looks a bit quicker than the McLaren around this track, too.<br /><br />A bit over 4/1 on Betfair - decent odds.<br /><br />Dammit, I might just have a small dabble.<br /><br />Though, of course, there's the dreaded safety car...Nigelnoreply@blogger.com