tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post2968724905559744007..comments2023-10-23T18:27:06.378+01:00Comments on PoliticalBetting - Channel 2: Japan: pre-raceMike Smithsonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11961547389548912471noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-50863010316277704022012-10-07T08:44:58.479+01:002012-10-07T08:44:58.479+01:00Glad I ended up sitting on my hands, with the Vett...Glad I ended up sitting on my hands, with the Vettel cover leaving me green for the weekend.<br /><br />Looking at Massa's pace, Alonso would have been nailed on for second if he'd avoided the first lap carnage. Might even have challenged Vettel, as there's nothing wrong with the Ferrari's race pace. I'm sorry what was a good call from you didn't end up paying out.<br /><br />And McLaren might be wondering about their new signing for next season...Nigelnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-53531875050271881532012-10-07T06:26:58.026+01:002012-10-07T06:26:58.026+01:00I'm going for Button to win a podium place, av...I'm going for Button to win a podium place, available from Hills at 3.75 decimal(11/4 in real money) and therefore typically half a point better than the rest of the market is offering for this bet.<br />He's been very competitive all weekend at or around 3rd place and only his gear box swap has pushed him back to 8th on the grid.<br />Time and time again the top drivers have shown that such a penalty doesn't really inhibit them substantially over an entire race and it's quite possible that a good start will see Jenson in the first four or five within the first lap or so. I somehow don't see a Red Bull finishing first & second and suspect therefore that two of the podium places are up for grabs. Button is at least as likely as anyone else to fill one of these.<br /> <br />Furthermore I also expect him to be extra motivated and Lewis Hamilton less motivated following confirmation that the latter will be moving to Mercedes next year.<br /><br />Peter from Putney.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-53030210439305337752012-10-06T19:38:15.717+01:002012-10-06T19:38:15.717+01:00That was a consideration for me.
However, I think...That was a consideration for me.<br /><br />However, I think reliability and experience matters a lot at Suzuka. We saw earlier how easy it is to make a small mistake which can lead to a big loss of time (or even a crash). I can easily see Grosjean doing that, and quite possibly Perez as well. Kobayashi is, I think, less prone to it, but I'm not sure he has the pace.<br /><br />There wasn't anything standing out, although if Vettel had been given the penalty some tasty quick bets could've been had. Still, can't complain, as I fluked my way to profit in Spain that way.Morris Dancernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-79326885030475268822012-10-06T18:37:02.914+01:002012-10-06T18:37:02.914+01:00Not sure about the Alonso podium - the Ferrari loo...Not sure about the Alonso podium - the Ferrari looks a bit iffy on long runs.<br /><br />The McLaren looked really good in P2 in this respect, but as Hamilton seems to have massive understeer, Button might be the one to look at... odds of 3.4 are not generous enough, though.<br /><br />Any one of Kobyashi, Perez or Grosjean could just as well manage a podium if all goes right for them. Of the three, Kobyashi had good long run speed in 2nd practice, but he needs not to get mugged at the start (a problem for him this season).<br /><br />No clear value there at the moment.Nigelnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-2034233960732409582012-10-06T14:31:01.797+01:002012-10-06T14:31:01.797+01:00Cheers.
Just watched the highlights. Webber seems...Cheers.<br /><br />Just watched the highlights. Webber seems well up for it and Hamilton appears to have cocked up his setup.<br /><br />Alonso was harder to read. I think he could get a podium, though (hope so, anyway). It was quite hard to tell, from a single viewing, whether Vettel did block him, but saying he impeded Alonso on a hot lap but only deserves a reprimand is weak.Morris Dancernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-43044455795377048342012-10-06T14:21:33.122+01:002012-10-06T14:21:33.122+01:00That would be Betfair.
Still slightly annoyed abo...That would be Betfair.<br /><br />Still slightly annoyed about the Hamilton bet, though. Although the reasoning was correct, I don't think I would have made it had I watched 3rd practice.<br /><br />Will have to think about the podium market.Nigelnoreply@blogger.com