tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post4484262138740060659..comments2023-10-23T18:27:06.378+01:00Comments on PoliticalBetting - Channel 2: See Ed Balls skippingMike Smithsonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11961547389548912471noreply@blogger.comBlogger31125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-7129385967864062842009-04-22T14:21:00.000+01:002009-04-22T14:21:00.000+01:00New thread up here on PB2New thread up here on PB2Mike Smithsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11961547389548912471noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-62998005732830808822009-04-22T14:18:00.001+01:002009-04-22T14:18:00.001+01:00Gabble.
I don't buy these forecasts. The most ove...Gabble.<br /><br />I don't buy these forecasts. The most overextended countries do best on these numbers. I think it's another straight line extrapolation. <br /><br />FWIW you can see the full table here<br /><br />http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/2009/RES042209A.htmkennoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-80121467054713870782009-04-22T14:18:00.000+01:002009-04-22T14:18:00.000+01:00John O, thanks. Ah well, it was a 20-1 shot.John O, thanks. Ah well, it was a 20-1 shot.antifranknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-50181600612764104052009-04-22T14:17:00.000+01:002009-04-22T14:17:00.000+01:00That IMF prediction is terrifying.
-4.1% this ...That IMF prediction is terrifying. <br />-4.1% this year and -0.4% next year. On the plus side, practically no one will have to pay 50% tax.antifranknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-35767926702619078042009-04-22T14:16:00.000+01:002009-04-22T14:16:00.000+01:00Antifrank, I don't think (emphasizes the think) he...Antifrank, I don't think (emphasizes the think) he did.John Onoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-74063758938070312512009-04-22T14:13:00.000+01:002009-04-22T14:13:00.000+01:00Could someone tell me whether or not Alistair Darl...Could someone tell me whether or not Alistair Darling used the word "election"? It's the only one of my bets that I haven't caught up with either way.antifranknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-42312671603571352402009-04-22T14:12:00.000+01:002009-04-22T14:12:00.000+01:00Financial markets speak: the pound down 2 1/2 cent...Financial markets speak: the pound down 2 1/2 cents against the dollar and also falling against the Euro.<br /><br />(Agree with anon 13.56 about the main site. PBC will quite literally not be the place to be on general election night if the technology-thinggy-dooberry-stuff isn't somehow improved).John Onoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-25085126446273839872009-04-22T14:10:00.000+01:002009-04-22T14:10:00.000+01:00Gabble, yes just basically means that the borrowin...Gabble, yes just basically means that the borrowing figures that he announced less than an hour ago are a pile of shit.James Burdetthttp://www.jamesburdett.co.uknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-31202163535266195212009-04-22T14:07:00.000+01:002009-04-22T14:07:00.000+01:00IMF:
ECONOMIC GROWTH FORECAST 2009
UK: -4.1%
US:...IMF:<br /><br />ECONOMIC GROWTH FORECAST 2009 <br />UK: -4.1%<br />US: -2.8%<br />Germany: -5.6%<br />France: -3.0%<br />Japan: -6.2%<br /><br />http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8011907.stmGabblenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-43999182327456853622009-04-22T14:02:00.002+01:002009-04-22T14:02:00.002+01:00Hilarious LabourList top article. Apparently a 50%...Hilarious LabourList top article. Apparently a 50% tax rate is a 'plan for recovery'.Morris Dancernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-81436674144461915732009-04-22T14:02:00.001+01:002009-04-22T14:02:00.001+01:00Live analysis:
http://news.sky.com/skynews/Unplug...Live analysis:<br /><br />http://news.sky.com/skynews/Unplugged/Budget2009Menoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-48313785357965889162009-04-22T14:02:00.000+01:002009-04-22T14:02:00.000+01:00Ted. But with the hike in VAT in January 2010, I c...Ted. But with the hike in VAT in January 2010, I can guarantee a bounce in Q4 2010. But, everyone will know that it is a technical bounce. In fact even if it isnt a technical bounce that will be the accusation. <br /><br />What a rubbish budget and while the 50% rate may go, it will encourage the rich ex-pats not to base in the UK. It's unhelpful and counterproductive.kennoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-44389676554969860212009-04-22T13:59:00.000+01:002009-04-22T13:59:00.000+01:00Cameron was shallow and jokey. Not very statesmanl...Cameron was shallow and jokey. Not very statesmanlike.<br /><br />It'll keep the troops happy but exposed his complete unsuitability to the office of PM.Gabblenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-26892583888676363052009-04-22T13:58:00.000+01:002009-04-22T13:58:00.000+01:00too many lurkers bringing it down?
What a lot of ...too many lurkers bringing it down?<br /><br />What a lot of commentators were saying was "be truthful", Darling created a fantasy growth forecast, in the way Brown always did.<br /><br />Nick Robinson did highlight that if there is positive growth by last quarter (unlikely but thats the forecast) the figures would come out in last weeks of GE campaign. That must be Gordon's last hope.Tedhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15932284926532855700noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-41295519357104254002009-04-22T13:56:00.001+01:002009-04-22T13:56:00.001+01:00Mike - presumably the problem is your server (alth...Mike - presumably the problem is your server (although I thought it had recently been seriously upgraded). If it can't cope today, God help it come General Election night. Why not open a donation box specifically to pay for a new server which can actually cope - I for one would contribute. If, however, the problem is Wordpress' responsibility, why not make the move to another Blog operator who can cope with your traffic?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-43841660498118747212009-04-22T13:56:00.000+01:002009-04-22T13:56:00.000+01:00Wibbler, I agree that won't look great, but it'll ...Wibbler, I agree that won't look great, but it'll be eclipsed by the mountain of debt.<br /><br />Interesting comment by Iain Dale, stating most appear to be against the 50% tax rise. Could it be a new IHT opportunity for the Tories? A counter-intuitive tax reduction for the better off having popular appeal.Morris Dancernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-12945802664029983232009-04-22T13:55:00.001+01:002009-04-22T13:55:00.001+01:00I give up!I give up!Menoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-89128962180100914702009-04-22T13:55:00.000+01:002009-04-22T13:55:00.000+01:00Again:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/nickrobinson/20...Again:<br /><br />http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/nickrobinson/2009/04/optimistic_abou.htmlMenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-74976971079169316822009-04-22T13:54:00.001+01:002009-04-22T13:54:00.001+01:00http://iaindale.blogspot.com/2009/04/budget-instan...http://iaindale.blogspot.com/2009/04/budget-instant-reaction.html<br /><br /><br />http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/nickrobinson/2009/04/optimistic_abou.htmlMenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-45395135339115402182009-04-22T13:54:00.000+01:002009-04-22T13:54:00.000+01:00Oh bugger, and I had nearly caught up with the thr...Oh bugger, and I had nearly caught up with the thread on the main site too.<br /><br />It’s a conspiracy I tell ya.SimonStClarenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-24340461899325998882009-04-22T13:53:00.000+01:002009-04-22T13:53:00.000+01:00Morris Dancer - there is no way the growth figures...Morris Dancer - there is no way the growth figures are credible for next year or the year after. So the borrowing figures are crap.James Burdetthttp://www.jamesburdett.co.uknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-50232110225198410112009-04-22T13:52:00.000+01:002009-04-22T13:52:00.000+01:00Cameron had an open goal, and he scored in great s...Cameron had an open goal, and he scored in great style.<br /><br />But the Tories REALLY REALLY REALLY need to look ANGRY instead of laughing at Cameron's best lines. <br /><br />Having even frontbenchers chortling at the prospect of having to go to the IMF won't look great on the news.wibblernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-70238294019786168182009-04-22T13:51:00.000+01:002009-04-22T13:51:00.000+01:00Nooooo!
Anyway, I thought Cameron had a strong re...Nooooo!<br /><br />Anyway, I thought Cameron had a strong response. Shocking figures. 3.5% growth in two years is probably bonkers.Morris Dancernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-43275649137820026952009-04-22T13:47:00.000+01:002009-04-22T13:47:00.000+01:00there goes the main sitethere goes the main sitecorporealhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05455833446428704829noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-25884098904048132432009-04-22T13:46:00.000+01:002009-04-22T13:46:00.000+01:00Oh no, the main site is down yet again - Grrh!
Pe...Oh no, the main site is down <I>yet again</I> - Grrh!<br /><br />Peter from PutneyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com