tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post6317213213184434955..comments2023-10-23T18:27:06.378+01:00Comments on PoliticalBetting - Channel 2: Australia: pre-raceMike Smithsonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/11961547389548912471noreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-21009779893916805832013-03-17T01:05:24.330+00:002013-03-17T01:05:24.330+00:00I'm really surprised that everyone ran in Q3.
...I'm really surprised that everyone ran in Q3.<br /><br />As Gary Anderson pointed out, the fresh medium tyres are much quicker than worn supersofts (and the track is likely to be cold) - and last twice as long.<br />Running two stints on the new mediums, and a short final stint on new supersofts might be as much as 20 seconds quicker over the course of the race.<br /><br />Lotus especially might have gambled on that strategy for one of their drivers at least, since their race pace continues to be better than their qualifying.<br /><br />And Hulkenberg in P11 on new primes ought to have an interesting few laps at the start.<br /><br />Good efforts by Massa and Di Resta (who has also come in for a lot of criticism recently).Nigelnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-58903224802287732842013-03-16T18:38:05.760+00:002013-03-16T18:38:05.760+00:00As you say, very hard to predict. If quali is dry ...As you say, very hard to predict. If quali is dry tomorrow/today, I would put some money on Mercedes for both cars to be in the top 6. Ferrari aren't as strong as I thought they would be so far, but I am yet to believe that anyone has revealed their true pace. Red Bull (as always) would be a safe bet...<br /><br />Let's wait and see!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-29940679898360372122013-03-16T18:21:49.722+00:002013-03-16T18:21:49.722+00:00I think Mercedes and/or Lotus could suffer reliabi...I think Mercedes and/or Lotus could suffer reliability issues.<br /><br />I'm hoping that we get a clearer picture after the race weekend. Right now it's still quite hard to sort a pecking order.Morris Dancernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-18419886607179580612013-03-16T17:17:05.983+00:002013-03-16T17:17:05.983+00:00I quite like Lotus for a podium, but neither of th...I quite like Lotus for a podium, but neither of the driver's odds on offer are good enough to tempt me.<br /><br />As for your race bet, Mercedes or Lotus have a pretty good chance of messing things up for Ferrari, so I don't see that one coming off either, assuming Vettel wins.<br /><br />We really haven't seen enough to separate the three teams on race performance yet, and they all have very strong driver lineups.<br /><br />One other unknown is the Red Bull race pace, which I'm not sure was fully demonstrated in practice.Nigelnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-49788285574412606862013-03-16T14:21:02.315+00:002013-03-16T14:21:02.315+00:00That's sort of like a hairy glove, and he open...That's sort of like a hairy glove, and he opens the door to her brothers room and his friend went into his family's <br />shipping business and on one occasion. To my mind, what happened in our downstairs bathroom,<br />and there was" Michael the artist and then there is selection pressure on males.<br /><br />Feel free to surf to my web site ... <a href="http://pocket-pussy.info/" rel="nofollow">pocket pussy</a>Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-47284651095627758582013-03-16T13:18:37.617+00:002013-03-16T13:18:37.617+00:00I just don't want to impose rules on people wh...I just don't want to impose rules on people who wish to offer tips.<br /><br />I'd be amused if Webber wins, the Ferraris are 2 and 3 and Vettel fails to finish.Morris Dancernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-34214196523621121452013-03-16T13:17:08.686+00:002013-03-16T13:17:08.686+00:00No, it's not a tip - although I've had a f...No, it's not a tip - although I've had a few bob on Webber winning, this is based solely on what I see as being great value - one cannot realistically expect to land 11/1 shots.<br />My ideas for having a proper structured plan for suggesting and staking bets fell on deaf ears and therefore I won't be putting forward betting suggestions as such, but merely commenting on my own punts from time to time.<br />It's a pity there aren't more posters commenting here.<br />I feel sure there are any number of lurkers, but we need more input of F1 fans' knowledge, ideas and yes, betting hunches be they short or longer term.<br /><br />Peter from PutneyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-34258972065133687852013-03-16T12:56:08.341+00:002013-03-16T12:56:08.341+00:00No, I think Vettel will probably beat Alonso, but ...No, I think Vettel will probably beat Alonso, but I think Massa will be much better than last year. Webber has poor starts, often, and sometimes has more tyre degradation than others.<br /><br />Home advantage doesn't always work in F1 (cf Barrichello in Brazil).<br /><br />I must say it was difficult trying to find a good bet. As you know, I focus on P3 for qualifying and qualifying for the race. Anyway, we shall see.<br /><br />Is that a tip on Webber?Morris Dancernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6413493203849579481.post-107599883968960952013-03-16T12:52:50.631+00:002013-03-16T12:52:50.631+00:00I just don't see you landing that bet Morris. ...I just don't see you landing that bet Morris. Although the odds appear reasonably attractive, you are doubly defying logic by preferring Alonso to Vettel and Massa to Webber (at the latter's home GP to boot).<br /><br />I shall bow before you as the Maestro should you be prove to be correct.<br /><br />I'd rather back Webber to win at far superior odds of 12 with Hills; he is after all in a significantly better car than the Ferrari.<br /><br />Peter from PutneyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com