Well, the bet on both Saubers finishing in the points came off, but I have to say it was entirely down to luck. However, if luck is going to influence results I'd much rather it be helpful than the contrary, so I'm not complaining. Nigel's early 7.4 tip on Button to win did not come off, but it was eminently layable (so although that's technically red it was a good trading bet).
The race was exciting from the first lap to the last and I fully intend to watch the highlights. This is what happens when proper circuits like Monza meet the most competitive F1 season for years, perhaps decades.
Off the line Massa passed Button, Perez and Webber had a tiny tangle (one of them lost a smidgen of front wing) and there were no major accidents. Alonso got a flying start and after a lap or two was already up to sixth.
Hamilton had a small but comfortable gap over Massa, who was eventually overtaken by Button.
Some cars went for two stops, including both Mercedes. Initially this looked a bad move but in the end they both finished alright, making late passes on fresh rubber.
Alonso slaughtered most of his opposition but met stiffer (and perhaps naughtier) resistance from Vettel, whose manoeuvre forcing the Spaniard from the track earnt him a drive-through penalty. Vettel was in the middle of the points positions when he had the same issue that cost him Valencian victory struck and he had to retire.
Button, who had been second, also suffered a reliability failure and had to retire, promoting Massa to second and Alonso to third.
Alonso was politely let past by Massa to take second. But then a remarkable thing happened.
Perez, who started 12th on the hard tyres, had briefly led and was flying. He was a second a lap faster than everyone else. He passed Massa with ease and then did the same to Alonso. Had the race been 5 laps more Hamilton might have been in trouble, but the gap he'd built up was sufficient to take the win. Perez, however, wins driver of the day for outstanding pace at the end, aided by a stroke of genius from Sauber's tactical division.
Kobayashi was strangely subdued, by comparison, coming home in 9th. Not really sure why that was. He did start on the medium compound, and I'm uncertain how many stops he did (radio coverage can make it hard to keep track of people not at the front/involved in tussles for position). Webber went off-track late on, and had to retire, and the Button/Vettel retirements meant that the Japanese got a points position that owed more to fortune than speed.
Raikkonen was steady but unspectacular in 5th, Schumacher and Rosberg got a tasty 6th and 7th, Di Resta can be fairly happy with 8th and Senna will probably be happy to both beat his team mate and get the final point in 10th.
Pretty relieved the tip came off, as I felt more like I was guessing than making a cunning judgement. Two from two for the weekend is also nice.
After that result, here's how the title race stacks up:
Button's failure to finish puts him down on 101, and almost certainly out of it.
The real winner today was Alonso, whose lead is now extended to 37 points. There's still a very close cluster of four chasing drivers, who may well take points from one another and allow Alonso to stay ahead. The counter-argument, which may be persuasive, is that the McLaren is now the car to beat and it's a McLaren driver in second place. We'll have to see how the other cars develop and whether the McLaren is as good at circuits that aren't as fast as Spa and Monza, however.
The Constructors' has Red Bull on 272 and McLaren on 243. I'd be surprised if McLaren didn't win this now.
The next race is Singapore, in a fortnight, a very different circuit to Spa or Monza. The grid is also likely to more closely resemble the final result than at those two circuits.