CON 39 (-1): LAB 28 (-2): LD 20 (+1)
The May survey by ICM for the Guardian is just out and the big surprise is that unlike other recent surveys from other pollsters there total for others has only gone up by one percent.
This is almost certainly due to the fact that ICM's voting intention question is different from the other firms and talks specifically of what might happen in the area where polling respondents actually live.
What is interesting is that there does not seem to have been an EU election effect nor has there been much damage from the MP expenses exposes.
The Tories might be a tad nervous that that the gap over Labour is only just above the point where they can be sure of a majority. But the papers note:
I'm expecting the Ipsos-MORI poll for May tomorrow.