Or will Gord block it making it even worse for himself?
Well there we are. Martin's made his statement and PB's main site goes down because there's so much traffic.
We now have to wait until we see what happens to the no confidence motion. Will Brown let it be debated? What's Cameron going to do now?
I think that James Forsyth at the Spectator CoffeeHouse has got this one right. The Tory leader might be reticent to join Nick Clegg in calling from Martin to go but he could demand that the government makes time available for the cofidence debate.
That would really put Brown on the spot and make him move from his current position of neutrality.
The big winner this afternoon, I guess, is Ladbrokes. Their "Speaker going" market was linked to a departure by the end of the month. I got on with PaddyPower where it's open until the end of the year.