Sunday, 25 July 2010

Hockenheim: post-race analysis

Tips-wise, the worst weekend since Canada. Betting a tenner each bet without laying, you’d be down £20. The Alonso tip was eminently layable, the Button one was not, alas.

Button had a reasonable position in turn 1, but he hit heavy traffic and slumped back and never had a chance for a podium from there. Bit of a dull race, to be honest.

The most important part of the race was poor Rob Smedley, my favourite engineer for his fantastic lines (“Felipe, baby, stay cool!”), who had to give a ‘suggestion’ to Massa that his team mate was faster.

Team orders are banned, and there was a clear team order. It was pretty unpleasant to watch, to be honest. Eddie Jordan has stated that it was cheating, and that’s a valid position.

The Ferrari principal was smiling and lying after the race, pretending there was no team order. However, the head of the FIA is Jean Todt, former team principal of… Ferrari. So we’ll seen if it gets investigated or if Ferrari get punished.

In the post-race press conference Massa looked pissed off, and rightly so.

However, we should not lose sight of the fact that the Ferrari is really back in contention. We can’t read lots into a single Grand Prix performance because each circuit is different, but it seems that the Ferrari and Red Bull are approximately equal, with the McLaren slightly further back.

In addition, Webber may have been able to have a go at Button were it not for yet another reliability issue. Nothing race-ending, but still a concern for Red Bull.

The result actually extends Hamilton’s lead slightly to 14. It’s important to remember that last season Button had a pretty rubbish latter half of the season, but kept a steadily eroded lead because his rivals (Webber, Barrichello and Vettel) constantly took points away from each other as well as him.

The top 5 drivers are separated by just 34 points.

The McLaren Constructors’ lead declined minutely to 28, with Ferrari 70 odd points behind second place Red Bull.

So, a bad weekend I’m afraid, with 2 wrong tips and a distasteful end to the race. Hungary takes place in just a week’s time. I can offer one tip already: don’t back Massa to beat Alonso.

Morris Dancer


Nigel said...

"In a statement issued on Sunday night, the FIA stated that a breach of Article 39.1, which bans team orders, and 151c, which relates to bringing the sport into disrepute, had been committed."

Will they get off with a slapped wrist and the $100,000 fine - or might Button get that podium after all ?
At least Alonso will have a sleepless night. :-)

Were it up to me, Alonso would get a 5 second penalty, and Ferrari would get a $15m fine for bringing the sport in disrepute.
That would at least restore the rightful result, and be just about severe enough to make them think twice about repeating the offense.

Morris Dancer said...

That would be a just result.

I suspect they'll get a slap on the wrist, if that.

Morris Dancer said...

$100k fine it is, the result stands:

Disgraceful, and yet utterly predictable.

I hope Alonso doesn't score another damned point.