Last night, I ploughed through the five online bookies that offer constituency betting - Ladbrokes, Victor Chandler, William Hill, Paddy Power and Sky bet - and compared the market (no further reference to meerkats or clicking noises will be made). I attach below the table that I produced, which sets out the best prices I found, with the overround percentage for each constituency given at the top.
http://best-constituency-betting.googlegroups.com/web/best%20prices%20for%20constituencies.doc?gsc=guQBVxYAAAARK2UVq1xSktTpFiAgenl_ynUQWV8aGEj4cKsE0NCgrQ
I would claim that this was an altruistic activity, but I did this entirely for my own benefit. There will probably be some errors, since I did all of this manually, and if so, apologies in advance. Happy browsing.
I have identified 13 constituencies where there is an underround: Birmingham Hall Green, Birmingham Northfield, Birmingham Selly Oak, Dunfermline & West Fife, Eastbourne, Middlesbrough South & Cleveland, Norwich South, Oxford East, Reading West, Richmond Park, Westmorland & Lonsdale, Wiltshire North and York Outer. I suggest that each of these must be worth a punt of some sort, given that the odds are skewed in our favour. The right choice(s) will vary from constituency to constituency and each punter will of course have his or her own view on the right choice.
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4 comments:
Excellent work, antifrank - thank you.
You may not have been alturistic to prepare the list, but you certainly are to publish it. Thanks antifrank.
Thanks for the research pal. Although I don't bet, never have, never will, I think what you did it excellent work.
I have had a look through the odds and have found some serious seats that need to be looked at with a fine comb, some hot drinks and a contact list to see what the outcome of the next election will be!
http://politicalbetting.blogspot.com/2009/10/theres-something-about-norwich.html
Profile on Norwich South, which features in your 'underround' list. Proceed with caution because that seat is a lottery!
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